The impact of outcome reporting bias in randomised controlled trials on a cohort of systematic reviews

Ref ID 471
First Author J. J. Kirkham
Journal BMJ
Year Of Publishing 2010
URL https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/340/bmj.c365.full.pdf
Keywords • Cochrane
• Multiplicity
• Missing data
• General medical
Problem(s) • Multiplicity of outcomes and lack of pre-specification for outcome reporting
• Failure to address missing outcome data in analyses
• Weaknesses identified in some Cochrane reviews
Article Type Empirical
Article Subtype Meta-epidemiological analysis
First Author Country United Kingdom
Aim To assess the prevalence of outcome reporting bias (the selection for publication of a subset of the original recorded outcome variables on the basis of the results) and its impact on Cochrane reviews published between 2006-2007. A sensitivity analysis was undertaken to assess the impact of outcome reporting bias on reviews that included a single meta-analysis of the review primary outcome.
Level of Investigation Analytical
Summary of Findings 55% of the included reviews did not include full data for the review primary outcome of interest from all eligible trials. 34% of included reviews contained at least one trial with high suspicion of outcome reporting bias for the review primary outcome. In a sensitivity analysis of the primary outcome of interest, the treatment effect estimate was reduced by 20% or more in 23% of reviews. Of the meta-analyses with a statistically significant result 19% became non-significant after adjustment for outcome reporting bias and 26% would have overestimated the treatment effect by 20% or more.
Number of systematic reviews included 283
Number of eligible systematic reviews assessed 309
Treatment impacted Yes
Treatment impacted description
Interpretation impacted Yes
Interpretation impacted description Nearly a fifth of statistically significant meta-analyses of the review primary outcome were affected by outcome reporting bias and a quarter would have overestimated the treatment effect by 20% or more