The magnitude of small-study effects in the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews: an empirical study of nearly 30 000 meta-analyses

Ref ID 520
First Author L. Lin
Journal BMJ EVIDENCE-BASED MEDICINE
Year Of Publishing 2020
URL https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6942244/pdf/nihms-1038392.pdf
Keywords • Publication bias
• Statistical
• Cochrane
• General medical
Problem(s) • Poor consideration of publication bias
Article Type Empirical
Article Subtype Meta-epidemiological analysis
First Author Country United States
Aim To assess publication bias in a large cohort of Cochrane meta-analyses published between 2008-2013 in order to provide rules of thumb for interpreting small-study effects’ magnitudes based on the measures’ empirical distributions. Popular methods for detecting publication bias were examined including four variations of Egger's regression (the regression intercept and the skewness under both the fixed-effects and random-effects settings; random effects was further considered using the Q test, and with the DerSimonian-Laird method if heterogeneity was detected). Two variations of the trim and fill method were also considered: the proportion of suppressed studies and the relative change of the estimated overall effect size.
Level of Investigation Analytical
Summary of Findings The regression intercepts and skewness indicated substantial "small-study effects" (publication bias) in around 30% to 35% meta-analyses, and considerable small-study effects in around 20% to 40% of meta-analyses. The trim and fill methods (PTF and RTF) implied substantial and considerable small-study effects in less meta-analyses than the other measures.
Number of systematic reviews included 3302
Number of eligible systematic reviews assessed 29932
Treatment impacted No
Treatment impacted description
Interpretation impacted Not Applicable
Interpretation impacted description